{"id":8929,"date":"2025-05-13T21:44:18","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T21:44:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/?p=8929"},"modified":"2025-05-13T21:44:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T21:44:19","slug":"humans-better-than-ai-at-forecasting-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/?p=8929","title":{"rendered":"Humans Better Than AI at Forecasting Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Being able to predict the future seems nice. I would&#8217;ve liked to know that my S&amp;P 500 index funds would peak in mid-February and then fall off a cliff in April. It would&#8217;ve been helpful for my reporting in the lead-up to the inauguration to know just how far the Trump administration would go to attack foreign aid. And while I&#8217;m at it, I&#8217;d like some sense of where mortgage rates are going, so I can better judge when to buy a house.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Being able to predict the future seems nice. I would&#8217;ve liked to know that my S&amp;P 500 index funds would peak in mid-February and then fall off a cliff in April. It would&#8217;ve been helpful for my reporting in the lead-up to the inauguration to know just how far the Trump administration would go to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8930,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8929"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8929\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8931,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8929\/revisions\/8931"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firearmman.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}